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Jambo wrote:I would think discretion is very unlikely in your case.
For more details see Q3 in Citizenship FAQs - Common Questions - Read before posting.
Thanks to you and Jambo on your contributions to my post. I am very grateful to you both, much appreciated.Gyfrinachgar wrote:I agree, chances of success are very low. It is not the total absence, but especially the absence in the last year that will probably be prohibitive.
The leeway for the whole 5 year period (450 days official maximum) is fairly high. A caseworker can apply much more discretion for that period, especially if the applicant has established home, family and a substantial part of the estate here - which you obviously have. However, absences exceeding 180 days in the last year (90 days official maximum) should only be disregarded "in the most exceptional circumstances". Therefore, with an absence of 255 days, I would assume that you chances are negligible at this time.
Once it falls below 180 days you start to have a chance, although it will still be a very slim one. You would still have to make a very compelling case to convince the caseworker. Success rates in discretion cases cannot be reliably predicted - as it is a very relative thing. You would do that at the risk of loosing over 800 pounds. It is a gamble, and I think the odds are against you (although much better than with 255 days).PontyGuy wrote:By February next year, the days spent outside the UK within the last 1 year would fall slightly below the 180 days threshold. Would you suggest I wait until then before submitting my application?
Gyfrinachgar wrote:Once it falls below 180 days you start to have a chance, although it will still be a very slim one. You would still have to make a very compelling case to convince the caseworker. Success rates in discretion cases cannot be reliably predicted - as it is a very relative thing. You would do that at the risk of loosing over 800 pounds. It is a gamble, and I think the odds are against you (although much better than with 255 days).PontyGuy wrote:By February next year, the days spent outside the UK within the last 1 year would fall slightly below the 180 days threshold. Would you suggest I wait until then before submitting my application?
Gyfrinachgar wrote:No need to sir me, call me Gyf.PontyGuy wrote:Thanks very much sir. I'll wait until February next year and see how it goes. Have a good day!
Best of luck with your application, and please keep us informed. That would help us to evaluate discretionary decisons and advise better in the future.