It will be 50, not 46 in this case.thisB wrote: ↑Tue Apr 17, 2018 4:52 pmYeah, this in an interesting theory. I think they have done _something_ with the 50 points to bring it down to 46 - if only for optics.tej_san wrote: ↑Tue Apr 17, 2018 4:29 pmCan you also please check and share if your employer had sent a request to Home Office to consider your application outside of the monthly allocation process and if so, based on which grounds?
If there was no request, then my below assumption may be correct:
To accommodate 50 points band, 100 certificates have been borrowed from next month. But, there may be a few more applicants say 5-7 still left over, and it may be possible that HO would have granted CoS to such 5-7 applicants exceptionally to clear the 50 point band!
Here, 5-7 is just assumption which may be a little more.
Example:
Let's assume 300 certificates were still available after granting RCoS to all Shortage Occupation / PhD and anyone with 55 or more points.
Now, assume there are about 409 (+/-) applicants in the next band which is 50 points.
The remaining 300 certificates are not sufficient to accommodate all 409 applicants. So, 100 certificates have been borrowed from next month (as maximum 100 only can be borrowed). Still there are 9 (approx) applicants left over in 50 points band. If they don't consider these 9 applicants under exceptional case, then all the 409 applicants have to be refused.
Now, HO obviously can decide on their own terms to grant a few certificates exceptionally to clear the entire 50 points band, which makes sense.
I believe this is what has happened this month.
If so, we are expected to see the cut-off at 50 points with 100 certificates borrowed from next month.
46 will be when all 50 point applicants are approved, but the remaining certificates are carried over to next month.
50 will be when all 50 point applicants are approved by borrowing upto 100 certificates from next month.
In both the cases, only applicants with 50 or more points only are approved and all the applicants with 45 points have been refused.